Cam WardorDaniel Jones?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Daniel Jones
Daniel Jones outscores Cam Ward in 58% of simulations.
Cam Ward still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Daniel Jones is the better bet, not a sure thing. Daniel Jones projects 1.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Daniel Jones has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (11% more than average to QBs); Cam Ward faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (13% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.1
- Median
- 10.4
- Ceiling
- 19.0
- Big game (25+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 12):
- 61%
- Floor
- 6.8
- Median
- 12.1
- Ceiling
- 19.5
- Big game (25+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 12):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Cam WardQB, TEN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Daniel JonesQB, IND, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.2 | 12.8 |
| PPR projection | 11.2 | 12.8 |
| Standard projection | 11.2 | 12.8 |
| Rank this week | QB22 | QB20 |
| Matchup | vs JAX | vs MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.6 | 9.1 |
| Last season per game | 11.0 | 17.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |