Daniel JonesorGardner Minshew?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Daniel Jones
Daniel Jones outscores Gardner Minshew in 97% of simulations.
Gardner Minshew comes out ahead in the other 3%. Daniel Jones projects 9.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Daniel Jones has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (11% more than average to QBs); Gardner Minshew faces the Los Angeles Rams (5% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.8
- Median
- 12.1
- Ceiling
- 19.5
- Big game (25+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 12):
- 49%
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 2.9
- Ceiling
- 6.2
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Daniel JonesQB, IND, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Gardner MinshewQB, ARI, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.8 | 3.3 |
| PPR projection | 12.8 | 3.3 |
| Standard projection | 12.8 | 3.3 |
| Rank this week | QB20 | QB23 |
| Matchup | vs MIA | vs LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.1 | 13.3 |
| Last season per game | 17.4 | -0.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |