Aaron RodgersorMalik Willis?
Week 8 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Aaron Rodgers
Aaron Rodgers outscores Malik Willis in 55% of simulations.
Malik Willis still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Aaron Rodgers is the better bet, not a sure thing. Aaron Rodgers projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Aaron Rodgers faces the Cleveland Browns (16% fewer than average to QBs), Malik Willis faces the New England Patriots (10% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.2
- Median
- 13.3
- Ceiling
- 22.0
- Big game (25+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 12):
- 41%
- Floor
- 4.8
- Median
- 12.1
- Ceiling
- 23.9
- Big game (25+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 12):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Aaron RodgersQB, PIT, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Malik WillisQB, MIA, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.1 | 13.5 |
| PPR projection | 14.1 | 13.5 |
| Standard projection | 14.1 | 13.5 |
| Rank this week | QB20 | QB22 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | vs NE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.0 | 14.4 |
| Last season per game | 14.2 | 12.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |