George PickensorWoody Marks?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Start George Pickens
George Pickens outscores Woody Marks in 68% of simulations.
Woody Marks still comes out ahead in the other 32%, so George Pickens is the better bet, not a sure thing. George Pickens projects 4.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: George Pickens faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to WRs), Woody Marks faces the Los Angeles Chargers (3% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, George Pickens wins 63%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 11.0
- Ceiling
- 22.3
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 15.5
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | George PickensWR, DAL, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Woody MarksRB, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.4 | 8.2 |
| PPR projection | 15.0 | 9.0 |
| Standard projection | 9.9 | 7.3 |
| Rank this week | WR12 | RB34 |
| Matchup | at IND | at LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.6 | 7.9 |
| Last season per game | 14.4 | 8.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 57% | 89% |
| Trade value | 24 | — |