J. Michael SturdivantorTrent Sherfield?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Trent Sherfield
Trent Sherfield outscores J. Michael Sturdivant in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: J. Michael Sturdivant comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Trent Sherfield, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. J. Michael Sturdivant projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. J. Michael Sturdivant has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (24% more than average to WRs); Trent Sherfield faces the Las Vegas Raiders (6% more than average to WRs). Trent Sherfield still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 0.6
- Ceiling
- 2.4
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 0.7
- Ceiling
- 1.7
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | J. Michael SturdivantWR, GB, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET | Trent SherfieldWR, BUF, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| PPR projection | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Standard projection | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Rank this week | WR117 | WR119 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| Last season per game | — | 0.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 13% | 11% |
| Trade value | — | — |