Malachi FieldsorRoman Wilson?

Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Malachi Fields

Malachi Fields outscores Roman Wilson in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Roman Wilson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Malachi Fields, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Roman Wilson projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Malachi Fields faces the Washington Commanders (17% more than average to WRs), Roman Wilson faces the Indianapolis Colts (14% more than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Malachi Fields
Floor
2.0
Median
5.8
Ceiling
13.1
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
52%
Roman Wilson
Floor
1.3
Median
5.4
Ceiling
15.2
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
55%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatMalachi FieldsWR, NYG, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ETRoman WilsonWR, PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.87.1
PPR projection7.98.4
Standard projection5.75.9
Rank this weekWR46WR43
Matchupat WASvs IND
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game5.79.4
Last season per game—3.6
Snap share, last game66%31%
Trade value——