Jake BriningstoolorPharaoh Brown?

Week 6 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Start Jake Briningstool

Jake Briningstool outscores Pharaoh Brown in 62% of simulations.

Pharaoh Brown still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Jake Briningstool is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jake Briningstool projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Pharaoh Brown has the better matchup against the Tennessee Titans (7% fewer than average to TEs); Jake Briningstool faces the Los Angeles Chargers (25% fewer than average to TEs). Jake Briningstool still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Jake Briningstool wins 99%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jake Briningstool
Floor
0.0
Median
0.2
Ceiling
0.7
Big game (15+):
<1%
Dud (under 5):
>99%
Pharaoh Brown
Floor
0.0
Median
0.1
Ceiling
0.5
Big game (15+):
<1%
Dud (under 5):
>99%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJake BriningstoolTE, KC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ETPharaoh BrownTE, IND, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection0.30.2
PPR projection0.50.4
Standard projection0.20.0
Rank this weekTE85TE87
Matchupvs LACvs TEN
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game0.5—
Last season per game—0.2
Snap share, last game13%—
Trade value——