Jakobi MeyersorJordan Watkins?

Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers outscores Jordan Watkins in 54% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Jordan Watkins comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Jakobi Meyers, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jakobi Meyers projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Jordan Watkins has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (17% more than average to WRs); Jakobi Meyers faces the Houston Texans (average to WRs). Jakobi Meyers still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Jordan Watkins is the pick at 52%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jakobi Meyers
Floor
3.2
Median
7.4
Ceiling
14.1
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
36%
Jordan Watkins
Floor
2.3
Median
6.6
Ceiling
14.3
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
45%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJakobi MeyersWR, JAX, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ETJordan WatkinsWR, SF, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.17.7
PPR projection10.08.8
Standard projection6.26.6
Rank this weekWR34WR38
Matchupvs HOUvs WAS
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.07.0
Last season per game8.61.8
Snap share, last game85%28%
Trade value——