Jordan MasonorTyler Allgeier?

Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason outscores Tyler Allgeier in 55% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Tyler Allgeier comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Jordan Mason, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jordan Mason projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Tyler Allgeier has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (14% more than average to RBs); Jordan Mason faces the Detroit Lions (11% fewer than average to RBs). Jordan Mason still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jordan Mason
Floor
2.3
Median
6.6
Ceiling
14.0
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
45%
Tyler Allgeier
Floor
1.9
Median
5.6
Ceiling
13.1
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
53%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJordan MasonRB, MIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ETTyler AllgeierRB, ARI, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.56.7
PPR projection7.87.6
Standard projection7.25.8
Rank this weekRB35RB39
Matchupat DETat DAL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game9.35.7
Last season per game7.66.8
Snap share, last game64%47%
Trade value——