Josh DownsorMakai Lemon?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Josh Downs
Josh Downs outscores Makai Lemon in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Makai Lemon comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Josh Downs, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Makai Lemon projects 0.5 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Josh Downs faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (8% more than average to WRs), Makai Lemon faces the Washington Commanders (13% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 11.6
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 51%
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 5.7
- Ceiling
- 14.9
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 53%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Josh DownsWR, IND, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Makai LemonWR, PHI, Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.6 | 7.1 |
| PPR projection | 8.4 | 9.3 |
| Standard projection | 4.7 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | WR47 | WR44 |
| Matchup | at JAX | at WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.3 | 5.3 |
| Last season per game | 6.8 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 85% | 91% |
| Trade value | — | — |