KC ConcepcionorTed Hurst III?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean KC Concepcion
KC Concepcion outscores Ted Hurst III in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ted Hurst III comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean KC Concepcion, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. KC Concepcion projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. KC Concepcion has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (14% more than average to WRs); Ted Hurst III faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (3% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, KC Concepcion wins 59%; in Standard leagues, Ted Hurst III is the pick at 61%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 11.3
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 56%
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 10.7
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | KC ConcepcionWR, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ted Hurst IIIWR, TB, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.1 | 5.8 |
| PPR projection | 8.4 | 6.8 |
| Standard projection | 3.8 | 4.8 |
| Rank this week | WR41 | WR45 |
| Matchup | vs BAL | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.6 | 5.7 |
| Last season per game | — | — |
| Snap share, last game | 16% | 40% |
| Trade value | — | — |