Kendrick BourneorTed Hurst III?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Ted Hurst III
Ted Hurst III outscores Kendrick Bourne in 56% of simulations.
Kendrick Bourne still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Ted Hurst III is the better bet, not a sure thing. Ted Hurst III projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Ted Hurst III faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (3% more than average to WRs), Kendrick Bourne faces the Los Angeles Rams (2% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Ted Hurst III wins 51%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.9
- Median
- 4.3
- Ceiling
- 11.8
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 64%
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 10.7
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kendrick BourneWR, ARI, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET | Ted Hurst IIIWR, TB, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.7 | 5.8 |
| PPR projection | 7.4 | 6.8 |
| Standard projection | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| Rank this week | WR46 | WR45 |
| Matchup | at LAR | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.6 | 5.7 |
| Last season per game | 5.3 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 49% | 40% |
| Trade value | — | — |