Kendrick BourneorMarquise Brown?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Marquise Brown
Marquise Brown outscores Kendrick Bourne in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kendrick Bourne comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Marquise Brown, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kendrick Bourne projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Kendrick Bourne has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Rams (2% fewer than average to WRs); Marquise Brown faces the Carolina Panthers (15% fewer than average to WRs). Marquise Brown still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.9
- Median
- 4.3
- Ceiling
- 11.8
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 64%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 4.7
- Ceiling
- 10.7
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 64%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kendrick BourneWR, ARI, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET | Marquise BrownWR, PHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.7 | 5.6 |
| PPR projection | 7.4 | 6.8 |
| Standard projection | 4.1 | 4.4 |
| Rank this week | WR46 | WR47 |
| Matchup | at LAR | vs CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.6 | 1.2 |
| Last season per game | 5.3 | 7.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 49% | 22% |
| Trade value | — | — |