Marquise BrownorTed Hurst III?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Ted Hurst III
Ted Hurst III outscores Marquise Brown in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Marquise Brown comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Ted Hurst III, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ted Hurst III projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Ted Hurst III has the better matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers (3% more than average to WRs); Marquise Brown faces the Carolina Panthers (15% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 4.7
- Ceiling
- 10.7
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 64%
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 10.7
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Marquise BrownWR, PHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ted Hurst IIIWR, TB, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.6 | 5.8 |
| PPR projection | 6.8 | 6.8 |
| Standard projection | 4.4 | 4.8 |
| Rank this week | WR47 | WR45 |
| Matchup | vs CAR | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 1.2 | 5.7 |
| Last season per game | 7.1 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 22% | 40% |
| Trade value | — | — |