Darius CooperorKC Concepcion?

Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Darius Cooper

Darius Cooper outscores KC Concepcion in 50% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: KC Concepcion comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Darius Cooper, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. KC Concepcion projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. KC Concepcion has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (14% more than average to WRs); Darius Cooper faces the Carolina Panthers (15% fewer than average to WRs). Darius Cooper still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, KC Concepcion is the pick at 59%; in Standard leagues, Darius Cooper wins 68%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Darius Cooper
Floor
2.4
Median
5.3
Ceiling
10.0
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
59%
KC Concepcion
Floor
2.1
Median
5.5
Ceiling
11.3
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
56%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDarius CooperWR, PHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ETKC ConcepcionWR, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection5.96.1
PPR projection6.78.4
Standard projection5.13.8
Rank this weekWR44WR41
Matchupvs CARvs BAL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.14.6
Last season per game2.3—
Snap share, last game85%16%
Trade value——