Justin JeffersonorWan'Dale Robinson?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Wan'Dale Robinson
Wan'Dale Robinson outscores Justin Jefferson in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Justin Jefferson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Wan'Dale Robinson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Wan'Dale Robinson projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Wan'Dale Robinson has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (15% more than average to WRs); Justin Jefferson faces the Miami Dolphins (9% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 8.7
- Ceiling
- 17.6
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 29%
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 19.8
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 30%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Justin JeffersonWR, MIN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 p.m. ET | Wan'Dale RobinsonWR, TEN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.8 | 10.4 |
| PPR projection | 11.9 | 13.2 |
| Standard projection | 7.7 | 7.6 |
| Rank this week | WR22 | WR19 |
| Matchup | vs MIA | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.8 | 7.6 |
| Last season per game | 9.4 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 12% | 63% |
| Trade value | 11 | 5 |