KC ConcepcionorZach Charbonnet?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Start Zach Charbonnet
Zach Charbonnet outscores KC Concepcion in 63% of simulations.
KC Concepcion still comes out ahead in the other 37%, so Zach Charbonnet is the better bet, not a sure thing. Zach Charbonnet projects 2.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Zach Charbonnet has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (9% more than average to RBs); KC Concepcion faces the New Orleans Saints (7% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Zach Charbonnet wins 55%; in Standard leagues, Zach Charbonnet wins 72%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.7
- Ceiling
- 15.4
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 9.2
- Ceiling
- 18.5
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | KC ConcepcionWR, CLE, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Zach CharbonnetRB, SEA, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.8 | 10.3 |
| PPR projection | 10.0 | 11.1 |
| Standard projection | 5.5 | 9.5 |
| Rank this week | WR32 | RB18 |
| Matchup | at NO | vs ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.6 | 4.4 |
| Last season per game | — | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 83% | 37% |
| Trade value | — | — |