Keenan AllenorKeon Coleman?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Keenan Allen
Keenan Allen outscores Keon Coleman in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Keon Coleman comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Keenan Allen, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Keenan Allen projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Keenan Allen faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (6% more than average to WRs), Keon Coleman faces the Los Angeles Rams (1% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 16.1
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 6.7
- Ceiling
- 16.5
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Keenan AllenWR, IND, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Keon ColemanWR, BUF, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.5 | 8.2 |
| PPR projection | 10.9 | 10.0 |
| Standard projection | 6.1 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | WR29 | WR33 |
| Matchup | at PIT | at LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.5 | 8.7 |
| Last season per game | 8.4 | 7.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 73% | 78% |
| Trade value | — | — |