Michael CarterorSamaje Perine?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Michael Carter
Michael Carter outscores Samaje Perine in 58% of simulations.
Samaje Perine still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Michael Carter is the better bet, not a sure thing. Michael Carter projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. The matchups don't separate them: Michael Carter faces the Cleveland Browns (10% fewer than average to RBs), Samaje Perine faces the Baltimore Ravens (4% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 10.8
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 61%
- Floor
- 0.8
- Median
- 3.8
- Ceiling
- 11.1
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 70%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Michael CarterRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Samaje PerineRB, CIN, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.9 | 5.1 |
| PPR projection | 7.1 | 5.7 |
| Standard projection | 4.8 | 4.5 |
| Rank this week | RB35 | RB39 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 5.3 |
| Last season per game | 6.3 | 4.6 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 51% |
| Trade value | — | — |