Justice HillorSamaje Perine?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Samaje Perine
Samaje Perine outscores Justice Hill in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Justice Hill comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Samaje Perine, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 5.1 half-PPR points in Week 7. Justice Hill has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (15% more than average to RBs); Samaje Perine faces the Baltimore Ravens (4% fewer than average to RBs). Samaje Perine still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.5
- Median
- 3.4
- Ceiling
- 12.2
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 68%
- Floor
- 0.8
- Median
- 3.8
- Ceiling
- 11.1
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 70%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Justice HillRB, BAL, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Samaje PerineRB, CIN, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.1 | 5.1 |
| PPR projection | 6.2 | 5.7 |
| Standard projection | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| Rank this week | RB40 | RB39 |
| Matchup | vs CIN | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.0 | 5.3 |
| Last season per game | 5.5 | 4.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 42% | 51% |
| Trade value | — | — |