Ollie Gordon IIorZach Charbonnet?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Zach Charbonnet
Zach Charbonnet outscores Ollie Gordon II in 64% of simulations.
Ollie Gordon II still comes out ahead in the other 36%, so Zach Charbonnet is the better bet, not a sure thing. Zach Charbonnet projects 2.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Zach Charbonnet has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (9% more than average to RBs); Ollie Gordon II faces the Detroit Lions (15% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 15.2
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 9.2
- Ceiling
- 18.5
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Ollie Gordon IIRB, MIA, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Zach CharbonnetRB, SEA, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.5 | 10.3 |
| PPR projection | 7.9 | 11.1 |
| Standard projection | 7.2 | 9.5 |
| Rank this week | RB40 | RB23 |
| Matchup | vs DET | vs ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.5 | 4.4 |
| Last season per game | 3.0 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 82% | 37% |
| Trade value | — | — |