Sione VakiorTyler Goodson?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Tyler Goodson
Tyler Goodson outscores Sione Vaki in 60% of simulations.
Sione Vaki still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Tyler Goodson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tyler Goodson projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Tyler Goodson has the better matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (2% fewer than average to RBs); Sione Vaki faces the New England Patriots (15% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.3
- Median
- 1.4
- Ceiling
- 3.8
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 98%
- Floor
- 0.5
- Median
- 1.9
- Ceiling
- 5.2
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 94%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Sione VakiRB, DET, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET | Tyler GoodsonRB, DAL, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| PPR projection | 2.0 | 2.7 |
| Standard projection | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| Rank this week | RB57 | RB52 |
| Matchup | vs NE | vs SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 2.9 | 3.4 |
| Last season per game | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 32% | 25% |
| Trade value | — | — |