TreVeyon HendersonorWoody Marks?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Woody Marks
Woody Marks outscores TreVeyon Henderson in 56% of simulations.
TreVeyon Henderson still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Woody Marks is the better bet, not a sure thing. Woody Marks projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. TreVeyon Henderson has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (6% more than average to RBs); Woody Marks faces the Los Angeles Chargers (3% fewer than average to RBs). Woody Marks still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 15.4
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 15.5
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | TreVeyon HendersonRB, NE, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET | Woody MarksRB, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.6 | 8.2 |
| PPR projection | 8.3 | 9.0 |
| Standard projection | 6.8 | 7.3 |
| Rank this week | RB39 | RB35 |
| Matchup | vs GB | at LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.2 | 7.9 |
| Last season per game | 11.1 | 8.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 24% | 89% |
| Trade value | — | — |