Andrew OgletreeorBauer Sharp?

Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Start Andrew Ogletree

Andrew Ogletree outscores Bauer Sharp in 57% of simulations.

Bauer Sharp still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Andrew Ogletree is the better bet, not a sure thing. Andrew Ogletree projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Andrew Ogletree faces the Dallas Cowboys (6% fewer than average to TEs), Bauer Sharp faces the Chicago Bears (9% fewer than average to TEs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Andrew Ogletree
Floor
0.0
Median
0.4
Ceiling
1.8
Big game (15+):
<1%
Dud (under 5):
>99%
Bauer Sharp
Floor
0.0
Median
0.3
Ceiling
1.3
Big game (15+):
<1%
Dud (under 5):
>99%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatAndrew OgletreeTE, IND, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETBauer SharpTE, TB, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection0.70.5
PPR projection1.00.6
Standard projection0.50.4
Rank this weekTE75TE77
Matchupvs DALat CHI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game0.50.4
Last season per game1.0—
Snap share, last game26%25%
Trade value——