Barion BrownorGreg Dortch?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Greg Dortch
Greg Dortch outscores Barion Brown in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Barion Brown comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Greg Dortch, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 1.8 half-PPR points in Week 9. Barion Brown has the better matchup against the Cleveland Browns (9% fewer than average to WRs); Greg Dortch faces the Minnesota Vikings (22% fewer than average to WRs). Greg Dortch still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 1.1
- Ceiling
- 4.7
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 94%
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 1.2
- Ceiling
- 4.3
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 96%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Barion BrownWR, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Greg DortchWR, BUF, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| PPR projection | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| Standard projection | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Rank this week | WR93 | WR92 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | at MIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Last season per game | — | 5.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 21% | 5% |
| Trade value | — | — |