Blake WhiteheartorWill Mallory?

Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Start Will Mallory

Will Mallory outscores Blake Whiteheart in 57% of simulations.

Blake Whiteheart still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Will Mallory is the better bet, not a sure thing. Both project 1.3 half-PPR points in Week 9. Blake Whiteheart has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (7% more than average to TEs); Will Mallory faces the Dallas Cowboys (6% fewer than average to TEs). Will Mallory still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Blake Whiteheart
Floor
0.1
Median
0.8
Ceiling
3.4
Big game (15+):
<1%
Dud (under 5):
97%
Will Mallory
Floor
0.4
Median
1.1
Ceiling
2.5
Big game (15+):
<1%
Dud (under 5):
>99%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatBlake WhiteheartTE, CLE, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETWill MalloryTE, IND, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection1.31.3
PPR projection1.61.8
Standard projection1.00.9
Rank this weekTE67TE66
Matchupat NOvs DAL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game2.61.5
Last season per game0.22.1
Snap share, last game36%34%
Trade value——