Breece HallorJeremiyah Love?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jeremiyah Love
Jeremiyah Love outscores Breece Hall in 60% of simulations.
Breece Hall still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Jeremiyah Love is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jeremiyah Love projects 2.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Jeremiyah Love has the better matchup against the New York Giants (15% more than average to RBs); Breece Hall faces the Chicago Bears (3% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 10.1
- Ceiling
- 20.5
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 21%
- Floor
- 5.2
- Median
- 12.5
- Ceiling
- 25.6
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Breece HallRB, NYJ, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jeremiyah LoveRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.6 | 14.1 |
| PPR projection | 12.9 | 16.0 |
| Standard projection | 10.3 | 12.2 |
| Rank this week | RB15 | RB11 |
| Matchup | at CHI | at NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| Last season per game | 11.9 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 48% | 64% |
| Trade value | 19 | 26 |