Breece HallorTee Higgins?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.

Our call

Start Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins outscores Breece Hall in 66% of simulations.

Breece Hall still comes out ahead in the other 34%, so Tee Higgins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tee Higgins projects 5.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Tee Higgins has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (2% more than average to WRs); Breece Hall faces the Kansas City Chiefs (13% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Breece Hall
Floor
3.9
Median
9.6
Ceiling
19.5
Big game (20+):
9%
Dud (under 6):
24%
Tee Higgins
Floor
5.4
Median
14.3
Ceiling
30.9
Big game (20+):
29%
Dud (under 6):
12%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatBreece HallRB, NYJ, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETTee HigginsWR, CIN, Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 a.m. ET
Half-PPR projection11.016.4
PPR projection12.219.2
Standard projection9.713.6
Rank this weekRB18WR5
Matchupat KCat ATL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game12.516.9
Last season per game11.912.1
Snap share, last game48%88%
Trade value1557