Brenen ThompsonorDevin Duvernay?

Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Devin Duvernay

Devin Duvernay outscores Brenen Thompson in 73% of simulations.

Brenen Thompson still comes out ahead in the other 27%, so Devin Duvernay is the better bet, not a sure thing. Brenen Thompson projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Brenen Thompson has the better matchup against the Houston Texans (average to WRs); Devin Duvernay faces the Seattle Seahawks (21% fewer than average to WRs). Devin Duvernay still wins more often despite that. Brenen Thompson is listed as doubtful.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Brenen Thompson
Floor
0.0
Median
0.0
Ceiling
2.0
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
>99%
Devin Duvernay
Floor
0.0
Median
0.2
Ceiling
0.8
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
>99%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatBrenen ThompsonWR, LAC, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ETDevin DuvernayWR, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection0.50.3
PPR projection0.70.5
Standard projection0.40.2
Rank this weekWR115WR116
Matchupvs HOUat SEA
InjuryDoubtfulNone
2026 points per game1.80.3
Last season per game—0.2
Snap share, last game18%42%
Trade value——