Brevyn Spann-FordorHayden Rucci?

Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Hayden Rucci

Hayden Rucci outscores Brevyn Spann-Ford in 55% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Brevyn Spann-Ford comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Hayden Rucci, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Brevyn Spann-Ford projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Brevyn Spann-Ford has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (11% more than average to TEs); Hayden Rucci faces the Houston Texans (19% fewer than average to TEs). Hayden Rucci still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Hayden Rucci wins 63%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Brevyn Spann-Ford
Floor
0.1
Median
1.3
Ceiling
5.4
Big game (15+):
<1%
Dud (under 5):
89%
Hayden Rucci
Floor
0.2
Median
1.5
Ceiling
4.8
Big game (15+):
<1%
Dud (under 5):
91%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatBrevyn Spann-FordTE, DAL, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETHayden RucciTE, LAC, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection2.22.1
PPR projection3.02.3
Standard projection1.52.0
Rank this weekTE53TE54
Matchupat INDvs HOU
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game2.22.4
Last season per game1.20.0
Snap share, last game88%13%
Trade value——