Brock WrightorIan Thomas?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Brock Wright
Brock Wright outscores Ian Thomas in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ian Thomas comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Brock Wright, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Brock Wright projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Brock Wright has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (31% more than average to TEs); Ian Thomas faces the San Francisco 49ers (4% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.4
- Median
- 2.0
- Ceiling
- 6.0
- Big game (15+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 84%
- Floor
- 0.4
- Median
- 1.9
- Ceiling
- 5.7
- Big game (15+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 86%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brock WrightTE, DET, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ian ThomasTE, LV, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| PPR projection | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| Standard projection | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| Rank this week | TE45 | TE47 |
| Matchup | at MIA | at SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 1.1 | 3.6 |
| Last season per game | 3.7 | 2.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 67% | 26% |
| Trade value | — | — |