Bryce LanceorLaquon Treadwell?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Laquon Treadwell
Laquon Treadwell outscores Bryce Lance in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Bryce Lance comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Laquon Treadwell, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Bryce Lance projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Laquon Treadwell has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (23% more than average to WRs); Bryce Lance faces the Cleveland Browns (9% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.4
- Median
- 1.9
- Ceiling
- 5.8
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 91%
- Floor
- 0.6
- Median
- 2.0
- Ceiling
- 5.1
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 94%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bryce LanceWR, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Laquon TreadwellWR, IND, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| PPR projection | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| Standard projection | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Rank this week | WR84 | WR85 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 2.6 | 3.7 |
| Last season per game | — | 0.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 79% | 70% |
| Trade value | — | — |