Cade OttonorDavis Allen?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Cade Otton
Cade Otton outscores Davis Allen in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Davis Allen comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Cade Otton, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Davis Allen projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Davis Allen has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (40% more than average to TEs); Cade Otton faces the Chicago Bears (9% fewer than average to TEs). Cade Otton still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 3.5
- Ceiling
- 8.6
- Big game (15+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 68%
- Floor
- 0.5
- Median
- 3.2
- Ceiling
- 9.8
- Big game (15+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 5):
- 68%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Cade OttonTE, TB, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET | Davis AllenTE, LAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| PPR projection | 5.6 | 5.3 |
| Standard projection | 2.9 | 3.4 |
| Rank this week | TE33 | TE32 |
| Matchup | at CHI | at WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.0 | 3.4 |
| Last season per game | 6.2 | 3.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 89% | 74% |
| Trade value | — | — |