Cade OttonorNate Adkins?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Cade Otton
Cade Otton outscores Nate Adkins in 56% of simulations.
Nate Adkins still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Cade Otton is the better bet, not a sure thing. Cade Otton projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Nate Adkins has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (3% more than average to TEs); Cade Otton faces the Chicago Bears (9% fewer than average to TEs). Cade Otton still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Cade Otton wins 61%; in Standard leagues, Nate Adkins is the pick at 52%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 3.5
- Ceiling
- 8.6
- Big game (15+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 68%
- Floor
- 0.5
- Median
- 2.8
- Ceiling
- 8.5
- Big game (15+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 72%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Cade OttonTE, TB, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET | Nate AdkinsTE, DEN, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| PPR projection | 5.6 | 4.5 |
| Standard projection | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| Rank this week | TE33 | TE35 |
| Matchup | at CHI | at CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.0 | 5.2 |
| Last season per game | 6.2 | 2.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 89% | 31% |
| Trade value | — | — |