Cade OttonorNoah Gray?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Cade Otton
Cade Otton outscores Noah Gray in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Noah Gray comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Cade Otton, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Cade Otton projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Noah Gray has the better matchup against the New York Jets (8% more than average to TEs); Cade Otton faces the Chicago Bears (9% fewer than average to TEs). Cade Otton still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 3.5
- Ceiling
- 8.6
- Big game (15+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 68%
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 3.4
- Ceiling
- 8.2
- Big game (15+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 69%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Cade OttonTE, TB, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET | Noah GrayTE, KC, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| PPR projection | 5.6 | 5.1 |
| Standard projection | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| Rank this week | TE33 | TE34 |
| Matchup | at CHI | vs NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| Last season per game | 6.2 | 2.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 89% | 54% |
| Trade value | — | — |