Cam SkatteboorTrey McBride?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back or tight end.
Our call
Lean Trey McBride
Trey McBride outscores Cam Skattebo in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Cam Skattebo comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Trey McBride, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Cam Skattebo projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Cam Skattebo has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (12% more than average to RBs); Trey McBride faces the New York Giants (15% fewer than average to TEs). Trey McBride still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Trey McBride wins 58%; in Standard leagues, Cam Skattebo is the pick at 59%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.1
- Median
- 12.5
- Ceiling
- 23.3
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 5.6
- Median
- 12.3
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Big game (15+):
- 34%
- Dud (under 5):
- 7%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Cam SkatteboRB, NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Trey McBrideTE, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.7 | 13.5 |
| PPR projection | 15.2 | 17.1 |
| Standard projection | 12.2 | 9.9 |
| Rank this week | RB10 | TE2 |
| Matchup | vs ARI | at NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.0 | 15.4 |
| Last season per game | 14.5 | 14.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 91% |
| Trade value | 24 | 38 |