Chig OkonkwoorJake Ferguson?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Jake Ferguson
Jake Ferguson outscores Chig Okonkwo in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Chig Okonkwo comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Jake Ferguson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jake Ferguson projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Jake Ferguson has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (11% more than average to TEs); Chig Okonkwo faces the Los Angeles Rams (15% fewer than average to TEs). Jake Ferguson is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 4.2
- Ceiling
- 9.5
- Big game (15+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 5):
- 60%
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 4.5
- Ceiling
- 12.1
- Big game (15+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 5):
- 55%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chig OkonkwoTE, WAS, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jake FergusonTE, DAL, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.9 | 5.7 |
| PPR projection | 6.5 | 7.3 |
| Standard projection | 3.3 | 4.2 |
| Rank this week | TE26 | TE25 |
| Matchup | vs LAR | at IND |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 4.9 | 5.1 |
| Last season per game | 5.6 | 8.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 56% |
| Trade value | — | — |