Colson YankofforPayne Durham?

Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Start Payne Durham

Payne Durham outscores Colson Yankoff in 58% of simulations.

Colson Yankoff still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Payne Durham is the better bet, not a sure thing. Payne Durham projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Payne Durham faces the Chicago Bears (9% fewer than average to TEs), Colson Yankoff faces the Los Angeles Rams (15% fewer than average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Payne Durham wins 50%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Colson Yankoff
Floor
0.0
Median
0.1
Ceiling
0.5
Big game (15+):
<1%
Dud (under 5):
>99%
Payne Durham
Floor
0.0
Median
0.2
Ceiling
0.7
Big game (15+):
<1%
Dud (under 5):
>99%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatColson YankoffTE, WAS, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETPayne DurhamTE, TB, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection0.20.3
PPR projection0.30.4
Standard projection0.20.2
Rank this weekTE82TE80
Matchupvs LARat CHI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game0.40.5
Last season per game0.30.2
Snap share, last game2%38%
Trade value——