Courtland SuttonorTyquan Thornton?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Courtland Sutton
Courtland Sutton outscores Tyquan Thornton in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tyquan Thornton comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Courtland Sutton, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tyquan Thornton projects 1.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Tyquan Thornton has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs); Courtland Sutton faces the Seattle Seahawks (19% fewer than average to WRs). Courtland Sutton still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.0
- Ceiling
- 12.6
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 17.0
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Courtland SuttonWR, DEN, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ET | Tyquan ThorntonWR, KC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.8 | 7.9 |
| PPR projection | 8.2 | 9.0 |
| Standard projection | 5.4 | 6.9 |
| Rank this week | WR35 | WR31 |
| Matchup | vs SEA | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.4 | 9.8 |
| Last season per game | 10.7 | 5.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 63% |
| Trade value | — | 1 |