Jaylen WaddleorTyquan Thornton?

Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle outscores Tyquan Thornton in 55% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Tyquan Thornton comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Jaylen Waddle, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jaylen Waddle projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Tyquan Thornton has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs); Jaylen Waddle faces the Seattle Seahawks (19% fewer than average to WRs). Jaylen Waddle still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jaylen Waddle
Floor
2.5
Median
6.9
Ceiling
15.0
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
42%
Tyquan Thornton
Floor
1.3
Median
6.1
Ceiling
17.0
Big game (20+):
7%
Dud (under 6):
50%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJaylen WaddleWR, DEN, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ETTyquan ThorntonWR, KC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.07.9
PPR projection9.69.0
Standard projection6.36.9
Rank this weekWR28WR31
Matchupvs SEAvs LAC
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.99.8
Last season per game10.15.9
Snap share, last game65%63%
Trade value51