Carnell TateorTyquan Thornton?

Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Carnell Tate

Carnell Tate outscores Tyquan Thornton in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Tyquan Thornton comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Carnell Tate, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 7.9 half-PPR points in Week 6. Carnell Tate has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (10% more than average to WRs); Tyquan Thornton faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Tyquan Thornton is the pick at 54%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Carnell Tate
Floor
2.1
Median
6.6
Ceiling
15.5
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
45%
Tyquan Thornton
Floor
1.3
Median
6.1
Ceiling
17.0
Big game (20+):
7%
Dud (under 6):
50%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatCarnell TateWR, TEN, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ETTyquan ThorntonWR, KC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.97.9
PPR projection10.39.0
Standard projection5.56.9
Rank this weekWR32WR31
Matchupat INDvs LAC
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.49.8
Last season per game—5.9
Snap share, last game76%63%
Trade value—1