Dare OgunbowaleorDJ Herman?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start DJ Herman
DJ Herman outscores Dare Ogunbowale in 60% of simulations.
Dare Ogunbowale still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so DJ Herman is the better bet, not a sure thing. Both project 1.1 half-PPR points in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: DJ Herman faces the Indianapolis Colts (6% more than average to RBs), Dare Ogunbowale faces the Cleveland Browns (average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 0.6
- Ceiling
- 2.7
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 99%
- Floor
- 0.4
- Median
- 1.0
- Ceiling
- 2.0
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dare OgunbowaleRB, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | DJ HermanRB, MIA, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| PPR projection | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Standard projection | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Rank this week | RB64 | RB66 |
| Matchup | at CLE | at IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 0.4 | 1.1 |
| Last season per game | 1.4 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 11% | 37% |
| Trade value | — | — |