Darius CooperorJaylin Noel?

Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Darius Cooper

Darius Cooper outscores Jaylin Noel in 56% of simulations.

Jaylin Noel still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Darius Cooper is the better bet, not a sure thing. Both project 5.9 half-PPR points in Week 6. Jaylin Noel has the better matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars (4% more than average to WRs); Darius Cooper faces the Carolina Panthers (15% fewer than average to WRs). Darius Cooper still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Darius Cooper
Floor
2.5
Median
5.3
Ceiling
10.0
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
59%
Jaylin Noel
Floor
1.0
Median
4.4
Ceiling
12.3
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
63%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDarius CooperWR, PHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ETJaylin NoelWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET
Half-PPR projection5.95.9
PPR projection6.77.1
Standard projection5.14.8
Rank this weekWR47WR48
Matchupvs CARat JAX
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.17.6
Last season per game2.33.3
Snap share, last game85%45%
Trade value——