Adonai MitchellorJaylin Noel?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Adonai Mitchell
Adonai Mitchell outscores Jaylin Noel in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jaylin Noel comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Adonai Mitchell, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Adonai Mitchell projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Jaylin Noel has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs); Adonai Mitchell faces the Kansas City Chiefs (18% fewer than average to WRs). Adonai Mitchell still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 4.6
- Ceiling
- 15.2
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
- Floor
- 0.9
- Median
- 4.5
- Ceiling
- 13.0
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 62%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Adonai MitchellWR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jaylin NoelWR, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.6 | 6.1 |
| PPR projection | 7.9 | 7.2 |
| Standard projection | 5.2 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | WR45 | WR48 |
| Matchup | at KC | at LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.1 | 8.2 |
| Last season per game | 4.5 | 3.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 61% | 31% |
| Trade value | — | — |