Jaylin NoelorMalachi Fields?

Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Malachi Fields

Malachi Fields outscores Jaylin Noel in 55% of simulations.

Jaylin Noel still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Malachi Fields is the better bet, not a sure thing. Malachi Fields projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Malachi Fields has the better matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles (6% more than average to WRs); Jaylin Noel faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jaylin Noel
Floor
0.9
Median
4.5
Ceiling
13.0
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
62%
Malachi Fields
Floor
1.9
Median
5.3
Ceiling
11.9
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
57%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJaylin NoelWR, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ETMalachi FieldsWR, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.16.2
PPR projection7.27.4
Standard projection5.04.9
Rank this weekWR48WR47
Matchupat LACat PHI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.25.5
Last season per game3.3—
Snap share, last game31%74%
Trade value——