Courtland SuttonorJaylin Noel?
Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Courtland Sutton
Courtland Sutton outscores Jaylin Noel in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jaylin Noel comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Courtland Sutton, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jaylin Noel projects 0.6 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Courtland Sutton faces the Arizona Cardinals (4% more than average to WRs), Jaylin Noel faces the New York Giants (5% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 13.4
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 46%
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 16.2
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Courtland SuttonWR, DEN, Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 p.m. ET | Jaylin NoelWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.2 | 7.8 |
| PPR projection | 8.7 | 9.1 |
| Standard projection | 5.6 | 6.6 |
| Rank this week | WR40 | WR37 |
| Matchup | at ARI | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.1 | 9.4 |
| Last season per game | 10.7 | 3.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 49% |
| Trade value | — | — |