Darnell MooneyorEfton Chism III?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Darnell Mooney
Darnell Mooney outscores Efton Chism III in 56% of simulations.
Efton Chism III still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Darnell Mooney is the better bet, not a sure thing. Both project 3.3 half-PPR points in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Darnell Mooney faces the Philadelphia Eagles (6% more than average to WRs), Efton Chism III faces the Green Bay Packers (5% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.8
- Median
- 2.6
- Ceiling
- 6.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 87%
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 2.2
- Ceiling
- 7.7
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 83%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Darnell MooneyWR, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Efton Chism IIIWR, NE, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| PPR projection | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Standard projection | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Rank this week | WR72 | WR74 |
| Matchup | at PHI | vs GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 2.7 | 3.9 |
| Last season per game | 4.4 | 1.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 55% | 88% |
| Trade value | — | — |