Davante AdamsorTetairoa McMillan?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Davante Adams
Davante Adams outscores Tetairoa McMillan in 59% of simulations.
Tetairoa McMillan still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Davante Adams is the better bet, not a sure thing. Davante Adams projects 2.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Davante Adams has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (7% more than average to WRs); Tetairoa McMillan faces the Philadelphia Eagles (2% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 14.3
- Ceiling
- 28.5
- Big game (20+):
- 28%
- Dud (under 6):
- 10%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 25.7
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 23%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Davante AdamsWR, LAR, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET | Tetairoa McMillanWR, CAR, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.7 | 13.3 |
| PPR projection | 18.2 | 16.0 |
| Standard projection | 13.2 | 10.6 |
| Rank this week | WR3 | WR7 |
| Matchup | vs ARI | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.3 | 15.4 |
| Last season per game | 13.8 | 10.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 73% | 89% |
| Trade value | 44 | 36 |