David SillsorTim Patrick?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start David Sills
David Sills outscores Tim Patrick in 56% of simulations.
Tim Patrick still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so David Sills is the better bet, not a sure thing. David Sills projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. David Sills has the better matchup against the Chicago Bears (12% more than average to WRs); Tim Patrick faces the Kansas City Chiefs (18% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.3
- Median
- 2.1
- Ceiling
- 7.0
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 86%
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 1.7
- Ceiling
- 7.2
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 87%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | David SillsWR, TB, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET | Tim PatrickWR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 3.0 | 2.9 |
| PPR projection | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| Standard projection | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| Rank this week | WR76 | WR77 |
| Matchup | at CHI | at KC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 0.0 | 2.8 |
| Last season per game | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 25% | 69% |
| Trade value | — | — |