Denzel BostonorStefon Diggs?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Denzel Boston
Denzel Boston outscores Stefon Diggs in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Stefon Diggs comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Denzel Boston, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Denzel Boston projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Stefon Diggs has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (15% more than average to WRs); Denzel Boston faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (7% more than average to WRs). Denzel Boston still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.7
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 22.5
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 17%
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 21.0
- Big game (20+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Denzel BostonWR, CLE, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 p.m. ET | Stefon DiggsWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.8 | 12.0 |
| PPR projection | 14.4 | 14.5 |
| Standard projection | 11.3 | 9.4 |
| Rank this week | WR11 | WR14 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.7 | 12.7 |
| Last season per game | — | 9.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 89% | 59% |
| Trade value | 24 | 15 |